Respuesta :
Using the normal distribution and the central limit theorem, it is found that:
a) The probability is of 0.1587 = 15.87% that fewer than half of the adults in the sample will watch news videos.
b) The probability is of 0.0125 = 1.25% that fewer than half of the adults in the sample will watch news videos.
c) The standard error is inversely proportional to the square root of n, hence increasing the sample size by a factor of 5 decreases the standard error by a factor of [tex]\sqrt{5}[/tex], which causes the sampling distribution of the proportion to become more concentrated around the true population proportion of 0.57 and decreases the probability in part (b).
Normal Probability Distribution
In a normal distribution with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the z-score of a measure X is given by:
[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]
- It measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean.
- After finding the z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score, which is the percentile of X.
- By the Central Limit Theorem, for a proportion p in a sample of size n, the sampling distribution of sample proportion is approximately normal with mean [tex]\mu = p[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]s = \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}}[/tex], as long as [tex]np \geq 10[/tex] and [tex]n(1 - p) \geq 10[/tex].
In this problem, we have that the proportion is p = 0.57.
Item a:
Sample of n = 50, hence the mean and the standard error are given by:
[tex]\mu = p = 0.57[/tex]
[tex]s = \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.57(0.43)}{50}} = 0.07[/tex]
The probability that fewer than half in your sample will watch news videos is the p-value of Z when X = 0.5, hence:
[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]
By the Central Limit Theorem
[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}[/tex]
[tex]Z = \frac{0.5 - 0.57}{0.07}[/tex]
[tex]Z = -1[/tex]
[tex]Z = -1[/tex] has a p-value of 0.1587.
The probability is of 0.1587 = 15.87% that fewer than half of the adults in the sample will watch news videos.
Item b:
Sample of n = 250, hence:
[tex]s = \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.57(0.43)}{250}} = 0.0313[/tex]
[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}[/tex]
[tex]Z = \frac{0.5 - 0.57}{0.0313}[/tex]
[tex]Z = -2.24[/tex]
[tex]Z = -2.24[/tex] has a p-value of 0.0125.
The probability is of 0.0125 = 1.25% that fewer than half of the adults in the sample will watch news videos.
Item c:
The standard error is inversely proportional to the square root of n, hence increasing the sample size by a factor of 5 decreases the standard error by a factor of [tex]\sqrt{5}[/tex], which causes the sampling distribution of the proportion to become more concentrated around the true population proportion of 0.57 and decreases the probability in part (b).
To learn more about the normal distribution and the central limit theorem, you can take a look at https://brainly.com/question/24663213