Consider the following scenario: Let P(C) = 0.4. Let P(D) = 0.5. Let P(C|D) = 0.6. a. Find P(C AND D). b. Are C and D mutually exclusive? Why or why not? c. Are C and D independent events? Why or why not? d. Find P(C OR D). e. Find P(D|C).

Respuesta :

a. By definition of conditional probability,

P(C | D) = P(C and D) / P(D)  ==>  P(C and D) = 0.3

b. C and D are mutually exclusive if P(C and D) = 0, but this is clearly not the case, so no.

c. C and D are independent if P(C and D) = P(C) P(D). But P(C) P(D) = 0.2 ≠ 0.3, so no.

d. Using the inclusion/exclusion principle, we have

P(C or D) = P(C) + P(D) - P(C and D)  ==>  P(C or D) = 0.6

e. Using the definition of conditional probability again, we have

P(D | C) = P(C and D) / P(C)  ==>  P(D | C) = 0.75

Using probability concepts, we find that:

a) P(C AND D) = 0.3.

b) [tex]P(C \cap D) = 0.3 \neq 0[/tex], thus events C and D are not mutually exclusive.

c) Since [tex]P(C \cap D) \neq P(C)P(D)[/tex], they are not independent events.

d) P(C OR D) = 0.6.

e) P(D|C) = 0.75.

Item a:

By conditional probability, the relation is:

[tex]P(C|D) = \frac{P(C \cap D)}{P(D)}[/tex]

Considering [tex]P(C|D) = 0.6, P(D) = 0.5[/tex], we have that:

[tex]P(C \cap D) = P(C|D)P(D) = 0.6(0.5) = 0.3[/tex]

Thus:

P(C AND D) = 0.3.

Item b:

We have that [tex]P(C \cap D) = 0.3 \neq 0[/tex], thus events C and D are not mutually exclusive.

Item c:

[tex]P(C \cap D) = 0.3[/tex]

[tex]P(C)P(D) = 0.4(0.5) = 0.2[/tex]

Since [tex]P(C \cap D) \neq P(C)P(D)[/tex], they are not independent events.

Item d:

Using Venn Probabilities, we have that:

[tex]P(C \cup D) = P(C) + P(D) - P(C \cap D)[/tex]

Thus:

[tex]P(C \cup D) = 0.4 + 0.5 - 0.3 = 0.6[/tex]

Then P(C OR D) = 0.6.

Item e:

Using conditional probability:

[tex]P(D|C) = \frac{P(C \cap D)}{P(C)} = \frac{0.3}{0.4} = 0.75[/tex]

Thus P(D|C) = 0.75.

A similar problem is given at https://brainly.com/question/16723580

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