when a particular machine is functioning properly, 85% of the items produced are non-defective. if three items are examined, what is the probability that one is defective? use the binomial probability function to answer this question.

Respuesta :

The probability that one item is defective is 32.4%.

Here we have two possibilities for each of the 3 items, it is defective or it is not.

Where the probability that the item is defective is equal to 15% (or 0.15 in decimal form)

Now, if only one is defective, this means that the other two are not, so the probabilities (at random) are 15%, 85% and 85%.

Then the joint probability, equal to the product of those 3 probabilities, is:

p = 0.15*0.85*0.85

= 0.108

But we have 3 possible permutations (in which different options are the defective one) so the probability is 3 times that number:

P = 3p = 3*0.108 = 0.324

So the probability, in percentage form, is 32.4%

Hence we get the required answer.

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