Hi,USA Today reported that approximately 25% of all state prison inmates released on parole become repeat offenders while on parole. Suppose the parole board is examining five prisoners up for parole. Let x = number of prisoners out of five on parole who become repeat offenders.

HiUSA Today reported that approximately 25 of all state prison inmates released on parole become repeat offenders while on parole Suppose the parole board is ex class=

Respuesta :

a)0.783

b)0.409

c) 0.024

d)1.422

e) σ = 1.09

Step - by - Step Explanation

What to find?

• Find the probability that one or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders.

• Find the probability that two or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders.

• Find the probability that four or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders.

• Compute μ, the expected number of repeat offenders out of five

,

• Compute σ, the standard deviation of the number of repeat offenders out of five

Given Parameters:

x 0 1 2 3 4 5

P(x) 0.217 0.374 0.204 0.181 0.023 0.001

a) Probability that one or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders.

P(x≥ 1) = 1 - p(x < 1)

= 1 - P(x=0)

= 1 - 0.217

= 0.783

OR

P(x≥1) = p(x=1) + p(x=2) + p(x=3) + p(x=4) + p(x=5)

= 0.374 + 0.204 + 0.181 + 0.023 + 0.001

=0.783

Hence, Probability that one or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders is 0.783

This is the complement of the probability of no repeat offenders as shown above.

Hence, the first option is the correct answer.

b) The probability that two or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders.

P(x≥ 2) = p(x=2) + p(x=3) + p(x=4) + p(x=5)

= 0.204 + 0.181 + 0.023 + 0.001

=0.409

Hence, probability that two or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders is 0.409

c)The probability that four or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders.

P(x≥4) = p(x=4) + p(x=5)

= 0.023 + 0.001

= 0.024

Hence, the probability that four or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders is 0.024

d)Compute μ, the expected number of repeat offenders out of five

To compute μ, multiply each x by its corresponding P(x) and sum it up.

That is;

Mean = E(X) = Σ x * P(x)

=0(0.217) + 1(0.374) + 2(0.204) + 3(0.181) + 4(0.023) + 5(0.001)

= 0 + 0.374 + 0.408 + 0.543 + 0.092 + 0.005

= 1.422

Hence, the expected number of repeat offenders out of five is 1.422

e)Compute σ, the standard deviation of the number of repeat offenders out of five

To compute σ,

compute E(x²) = Σ x² * p(x)

= 0²(0.217) + 1²(0.374) + 2²(0.204) + 3²(0.181) + 4²(0.023) + 5²(0.001)

= 0(0.217) + 1(0.374) + 4(0.204) + 9(0.181) + 16(0.023) + 25(0.001)

= 0 + 0.374 + 0.816 + 1.629 + 0.368 + 0.025

= 3.212

Variance = Σ x² *p(x) - [Σ x *p(x) ] ²

= 3.212 - 1.422²

= 3.212 - 2.022084

=1.189916

Standard deviation (σ) = √ 1.189916 = 1.09

Hence, σ = 1.09

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