The american fleet at pearl harbor was caught by surprise when japan attacked because the Japan's military codes remained secure, they had no idea where Japanese might strike. Most of the people expected Japan to take over oil-rich British and Dutch possessions in Southeast Asia. Because American soldiers in the Philippines could pose a threat to a Japanese assault, Washington anticipated a fight there.
The prevalent thought held that the Japanese would try to take Southeast Asia's resources and maybe attack the American. Other commentators foresaw an attack on the Soviet Union's South. A Pearl Harbor attack was ruled out because the Japanese were thought to lack the capability to carry it out.
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