The next year's expected cash flow if there is a 50/50 probability that it will be either $10 million or $60 million is $35 million.
Probability refers to possibilities. This branch of mathematics deals with the occurrence of a random event. The value's range is 0 to 1. The probability formula states that the ratio of positive outcomes to all other outcomes determines how likely an event is to occur.
Sum of outcomes= 410+$60=$70 million
Number of outcomes=2
As the probability is 50/50, the next year’s expected cash flow will be
10+60/(2)
=70/2
=35 million dollars.
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