a.) Shapiro made a wrong decision here
b.) If I were Shapiro I would access my BATNA to know what decision to take
a.) If Shapiro had first studied his BATNA, it would have helped him to know which decision would be the best to take.
BATNA stands for best alternative to a negotiated agreement. A good negotiator first has to study this first to avoid making mistakes before they accept or reject a deal.
Since he did not consider this first, he is likely to make a wrong choice.
b.) To make this evaluation, Shapiro should have first gotten the necessary information.
In the complete question, his litigation cost = $500000
He had 70% chance of winning $10m
and 30% chance of winning $3m
We have to calculate his BATNA as
70% x 10,000,000 = $7m
30% x 3,000,000 = $900000
7,000,000+900000-500000
= $7,400,000
= $7.4m
Shapiro's BATNA is less than what Stevenson offered him at $8.5m. If he had calculated his BATNA first, he would have known better to accept Stevenson's offer.
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