Global Airlines operates two types of jet planes: jumbo and ordinary. On jumbo jets, 30% of the passengers are on business while on ordinary jets 25% of the passengers are on business. Of Global's air fleet, 60% of its capacity is provided on jumbo jets. (Hint: The 25% and 30% values are conditional probabilities stated as percentages.)
a) What is the probability a randomly chosen business customer flying with Global is on a jumbo jet?
b) What is the probability a randomly chosen non-business customer flying with Global is on an ordinary jet?

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Answer:

a) 0.18 = 18% probability a randomly chosen business customer flying with Global is on a jumbo jet.

b) 0.3 = 30% probability a randomly chosen non-business customer flying with Global is on an ordinary jet.

Step-by-step explanation:

Conditional Probability

We use the conditional probability formula to solve this question. It is

[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}[/tex]

In which

P(B|A) is the probability of event B happening, given that A happened.

[tex]P(A \cap B)[/tex] is the probability of both A and B happening.

P(A) is the probability of A happening.

Question a:

Event A: Jumbo

Event B: Business

60% of its capacity is provided on jumbo jets.

This means that [tex]P(A) = 0.6[/tex]

On jumbo jets, 30% of the passengers are on business

This means that [tex]P(B|A) = 0.3[/tex]

Desired probability:

We want to find [tex]P(A \cap B)[/tex], so:

[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}[/tex]

[tex]P(A \cap B) = P(B|A)P(A) = 0.6*0.3 = 0.18[/tex]

0.18 = 18% probability a randomly chosen business customer flying with Global is on a jumbo jet.

b) What is the probability a randomly chosen non-business customer flying with Global is on an ordinary jet?

Event A: Ordinary

Event B: Non-business

60% of its capacity is provided on jumbo jets.

So 100 - 60 = 40% are ordinary, which means that [tex]P(A) = 0.4[/tex]

On ordinary jets 25% of the passengers are on business.

So 100 - 25 = 75% are non-business, that is [tex]P(B|A) = 0.75[/tex]

Desired probability:

We want to find [tex]P(A \cap B)[/tex], so:

[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}[/tex]

[tex]P(A \cap B) = P(B|A)P(A) = 0.75*0.4 = 0.3[/tex]

0.3 = 30% probability a randomly chosen non-business customer flying with Global is on an ordinary jet.

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