According to the information provided, the best option for Doug is to use the central route, since it is the one where he has the best chance of finishing his goal and reaching the Pacific Coast.
When we want a specific event to occur or we want to carry out a challenge, we must evaluate if it is really possible or not and what are the chances of completing it successfully.
Probability can be measured as follows:
To know the probabilities of success in each round we must divide the number of successful attempts in the total number of attempts as shown below:
North Route:
Center Route:
South Route:
Based on the above, we can infer that the best option for Doug is to take the central route because he has a higher probability of success in this route.
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