Rockwell hardness of pins of a certain type is known to have a mean value of 50 and a standard deviation of 1.2.a. If the distribution is normal, what is the probability that the sample mean hardness for a random sample of 9 pins is at least 51?b. Without assuming population normality, what is the (approximate) probability that the sample mean hardness for a random sample of 40 pins is at least 51?

Respuesta :

Answer:

a

 [tex]P(\= X \ge 51 ) =0.0062[/tex]

b

[tex]P(\= X \ge 51 ) = 0[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

From the question we are told that

The mean value is [tex]\mu = 50[/tex]

The standard deviation is  [tex]\sigma = 1.2[/tex]

Considering question a

The sample size is  n = 9

Generally the standard error of the mean is mathematically represented as

      [tex]\sigma_x = \frac{\sigma }{\sqrt{n} }[/tex]

=>   [tex]\sigma_x = \frac{ 1.2 }{\sqrt{9} }[/tex]

=>  [tex]\sigma_x = 0.4[/tex]

Generally the probability that the sample mean hardness for a random sample of 9 pins is at least 51 is mathematically represented as

      [tex]P(\= X \ge 51 ) = P( \frac{\= X - \mu }{\sigma_{x}} \ge \frac{51 - 50 }{0.4 } )[/tex]

[tex]\frac{\= X -\mu}{\sigma }  =  Z (The  \ standardized \  value\  of  \ \= X )[/tex]

     [tex]P(\= X \ge 51 ) = P( Z \ge 2.5 )[/tex]

=>   [tex]P(\= X \ge 51 ) =1- P( Z < 2.5 )[/tex]

From the z table  the area under the normal curve to the left corresponding to  2.5  is

    [tex]P( Z < 2.5 ) = 0.99379[/tex]

=> [tex]P(\= X \ge 51 ) =1-0.99379[/tex]

=> [tex]P(\= X \ge 51 ) =0.0062[/tex]

Considering question b

The sample size is  n = 40

   Generally the standard error of the mean is mathematically represented as

      [tex]\sigma_x = \frac{\sigma }{\sqrt{n} }[/tex]

=>   [tex]\sigma_x = \frac{ 1.2 }{\sqrt{40} }[/tex]

=>  [tex]\sigma_x = 0.1897[/tex]

Generally the (approximate) probability that the sample mean hardness for a random sample of 40 pins is at least 51 is mathematically represented as  

       [tex]P(\= X \ge 51 ) = P( \frac{\= X - \mu }{\sigma_x} \ge \frac{51 - 50 }{0.1897 } )[/tex]

=> [tex]P(\= X \ge 51 ) = P(Z \ge 5.2715 )[/tex]

=>  [tex]P(\= X \ge 51 ) = 1- P(Z < 5.2715 )[/tex]

From the z table  the area under the normal curve to the left corresponding to  5.2715 and

=>  [tex]P(Z < 5.2715 ) = 1[/tex]

So

   [tex]P(\= X \ge 51 ) = 1- 1[/tex]

=> [tex]P(\= X \ge 51 ) = 0[/tex]

Using the normal distribution and the central limit theorem, we have that there is a:

a) 0.0062 = 0.62% probability that the sample mean hardness for a random sample of 9 pins is at least 51.

b) 0% approximate probability that the sample mean hardness for a random sample of 40 pins is at least 51.

In a normal distribution with mean and standard deviation , the z-score of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

  • It measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean.  
  • After finding the z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score, which is the percentile of X.
  • By the Central Limit Theorem, the sampling distribution of sample means of size n has standard deviation [tex]s = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex].

In this problem:

  • Mean of 50, hence [tex]\mu = 50[/tex]
  • Standard deviation of 1.2, hence [tex]\sigma = 1.2[/tex]
  • Sample of 9, hence [tex]n = 9, s = \frac{1.2}{\sqrt{9}} = 0.4[/tex].

Item a:

The probability is 1 subtracted by the p-value of Z when X = 51, hence:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

By the Central Limit Theorem

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{51 - 50}{0.4}[/tex]

[tex]Z = 2.5[/tex]

[tex]Z = 2.5[/tex] has a p-value of 0.9938.

1 - 0.9938 = 0.0062

There is a 0.0062 = 0.62% probability that the sample mean hardness for a random sample of 9 pins is at least 51.

Item b:

Even though the distribution is not normal, the sample size is of [tex]n = 40 > 30[/tex], hence the Central Limit Theorem can be applied.

[tex]s = \frac{1.2}{\sqrt{40}} = 0.19[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{51 - 50}{0.19}[/tex]

[tex]Z = 5.26[/tex]

[tex]Z = 5.26[/tex] has a p-value of 1.

1 - 1 = 0

0% approximate probability that the sample mean hardness for a random sample of 40 pins is at least 51.

A similar problem is given at https://brainly.com/question/24663213

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