The television show Lett3rs has been successful for many years. That show recently had a share of 24, meaning that among the TV sets in use, 24% were tuned to Lett3rs. Assume that an advertiser wants to verify that 24% share value by conducting its own survey, and a pilot survey begins with 11 households have TV sets in use at the time of a Lett3rs broadcast.
Find the probability that none of the households are tuned to Lett3rs. P(none) =
Find the probability that at least one household is tuned to Lett3rs. P(at least one) =
Find the probability that at most one household is tuned to Lett3rs. P(at most one) =
If at most one household is tuned to Lett3rs, does it appear that the 24% share value is wrong? (Hint: Is the occurrence of at most one household tuned to Lett3rs unusual?)

Respuesta :

Answer:

(a) P(none) = 0.0488

(b) P(at least one) = 0.9512

(c) P(at most one) = 0.2186

(d) No, it doesn't appear that the 24% share value is wrong.

Step-by-step explanation:

We are given that among the TV sets in use, 24% were tuned to Lett3rs.

A pilot survey begins with 11 households have TV sets in use at the time of a Lett3rs broadcast.

Let X = Number of households that are tuned to Lett3rs

The above situation can be represented through binomial distribution;

[tex]P(X = r)=\binom{n}{r}\times p^{r} \times (1-p)^{n-r} ; x = 0,1,2,3,......[/tex]

where, n = number of samples (trials) taken = 11 households

           r = number of success

           p = probability of success which in our question is % of  

                 households that were tuned to Lett3rs, i.e; 24%

So, X ~ Binom{n = 11, p = 0.24}

(a) The probability that none of the households are tuned to Lett3rs is given by = P(X = 0)

     P(X = 0) =  [tex]\binom{11}{0}\times 0.24^{0} \times (1-0.24)^{11-0}[/tex]

                   =  [tex]1\times 1 \times 0.76^{11}[/tex]

                   =  0.0488

(b) The probability that at least one households are tuned to Lett3rs is given by = P(X [tex]\geq[/tex] 1)

     P(X [tex]\geq[/tex] 1) = 1 - P(X = 0)

                   =  1 - 0.0488

                   =  0.9512

(b) The probability that at most one households are tuned to Lett3rs is given by = P(X [tex]\leq[/tex] 1)

     P(X [tex]\leq[/tex] 1) =  P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)

                   =  [tex]\binom{11}{0}\times 0.24^{0} \times (1-0.24)^{11-0}+\binom{11}{1}\times 0.24^{1} \times (1-0.24)^{11-1}[/tex]

                   =  [tex]1\times 1\times 0.76^{11}+11\times 0.24^{1} \times 0.76^{10}[/tex]

                   =  0.2186

No, it doesn't appear that the 24% share value is wrong because the probability that at most one household is tuned to Lett3rs is somewhere close to 24% and this probability is also not unusual as it is way more than the criteria of more than 5%.

ACCESS MORE
EDU ACCESS
Universidad de Mexico