Use the sample data and confidence level given below to complete parts​ (a) through​ (d). A drug is used to help prevent blood clots in certain patients. In clinical​ trials, among 4167 patients treated with the​ drug, 148 developed the adverse reaction of nausea. Construct a 95​% confidence interval for the proportion of adverse reactions. ​a) Find the best point estimate of the population proportion p. nothing ​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)

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Answer:

a) [tex]\hat p=\frac{148}{4167}=0.036[/tex]

b) [tex]0.0355 - 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.036(1-0.036)}{4167}}=0.030[/tex]

[tex]0.0355 + 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.036(1-0.036)}{4167}}=0.041[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

The sample proportion have the following distribution

[tex]\hat p \sim N(p,\sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}})[/tex]

Part a

The estimated proportion for this case can be calculated like this:

[tex]\hat p=\frac{148}{4167}=0.036[/tex]

Part b

In order to find the critical value we need to take in count that we are finding the interval for a proportion, so on this case we need to use the z distribution. Since our interval is at 95% of confidence, our significance level would be given by [tex]\alpha=1-0.95=0.05[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2 =0.025[/tex]. And the critical value would be given by:

[tex]z_{\alpha/2}=-1.96, z_{1-\alpha/2}=1.96[/tex]

The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula:  

[tex]\hat p \pm z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\frac{\hat p (1-\hat p)}{n}}[/tex]

Replacing we got:

[tex]0.0355 - 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.036(1-0.036)}{4167}}=0.030[/tex]

[tex]0.0355 + 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.036(1-0.036)}{4167}}=0.041[/tex]

According to the data given:

  • The best point estimate of the population proportion p is 0.036.
  • The 95​% confidence interval for the proportion of adverse reactions is (0.03, 0.042).

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the z-score that has a p-value of [tex]\frac{1+\alpha}{2}[/tex].

Out of 4167 patients treated with the​ drug, 148 developed the adverse reaction of nausea, hence:

[tex]n = 4167, \pi = \frac{148}{4167} = 0.036[/tex]

The best point estimate of the population proportion p is 0.036.

95% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.95[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a p-value of [tex]\frac{1+0.95}{2} = 0.975[/tex], so [tex]z = 1.96[/tex].  

The lower limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi - z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.036 - 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.036(0.964)}{4167}} = 0.03[/tex]

The upper limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi + z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.036 + 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.036(0.964)}{4167}} = 0.042[/tex]

The 95​% confidence interval for the proportion of adverse reactions is (0.03, 0.042).

A similar problem is given at https://brainly.com/question/16807970

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