Respuesta :
Answer:
a) The proportion of the jury described that is from a minority race is 0.15 or 15.38%, both to 2 d.p.
b) The probability that 2 or fewer out of 13 jurors are minorities, assuming that the proportion of the population that are minorities is 48%, is 0.0162
c) Option C is correct.
The lawyer of a defendant from this minority race should argue that
'The number of minorities on the jury is unusually low, given the composition of the population from which it came'.
Step-by-step explanation:
(a) What proportion of the jury described is from a minority race?
Of the 13 jurors, it is given in the question that only 2 of them are from a minority race.
Hence,
The proportion of the jury described that is from a minority race = (2/13) = 0.1538461538 = 0.154
(b) If 13 jurors are randomly selected from a population where 48% are minorities, what is the probability that 2 or fewer jurors will be minorities?
This problem is a binomial distribution problem
If X denotes the number of jurors that are from a minority race amongst the 13 jurors
Binomial distribution function is represented by
P(X = x) = ⁿCₓ pˣ qⁿ⁻ˣ
n = total number of sample spaces = number of jurors = 13
x = Number of successes required = 2 or fewer jurors = ≤ 2
p = probability of success = probability that a randomly picked member of the population as a juror is from a minority race = 48% = 0.48
q = probability of failure = probability that a randomly picked member of the population as a juror is NOT from a minority race = 1 - p = 1 - 0.48 = 0.52
P(X ≤ 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)
= 0.00020325604 + 0.00243907252 + 0.01350870934
= 0.01615103791 = 0.0162 to 4 d.p.
(c) What might the lawyer of a defendant from this minority race argue?
Normally, the distribution of 13 jurors should reflect the population distribution with each race represented according to their population proportion or at least a proportion close to that.
But for this case, the proportion of the population from a minority race (48%) is more than 3 times the proportion of the jurors that are from a minority race (15.38%). This can introduce a very unfair bias in the decision of the jurors, hence, the lawyer of a defendant from this minority race might argue that the number of minorities on the jury is unusually low, given the composition of the population from which it came (less than ⅓).
Hope this Helps!!!