Newark liberty airport is a very busy airport. Continental airlines is one of the largest carriers at the airport. Their on-time rate is not bad but predicated on the weather. On a specific day the weather forecast is predicting snow conditions with probability of 25%, rain condition with 35% probability and cloudy but no precipitation with a 40% probability. If it snows there is an 83% probability the flight will be late, 75 % probability the flight is late if it rains and a 40% probability it is late under cloudy but no precipitation conditions. It is a rainy day, what is the probability the continental flight is late ?
21%
33%
41%
63%
