Answer: PROBABILITY THAT AVERAGE EARNING IN THE FIRST TWO WEEKS IS GREATER THAN $65 = 0.25
Explanation:
GIVEN the following;
Amount paid weekly depends on output of a coin flip:
If HEAD(H) ; $80
else TAIL (T) ; $40
PROBABILITY THAT AVERAGE EARNING IN THE FIRST TWO WEEKS IS GREATER THAN $65:
To obtain an average salary greater than $65;
Consider the following cases:
CASE 1:
First week = T = $40
Second week = T = $40
Average = $80 ÷ 2 = $40 LESS THAN $65
CASE 2:
First week = H = $80
Second week = T = $40
Average = $120 ÷ 2 = $60 LESS THAN $65
The only scenario to obtain an average salary of $65 for the first two weeks is :
First week = H = $80
Second week = H = $80
Average = $80 ÷ 2 = $80 GREATER THAN $65
THEREFORE,
P(H) = required outcome ÷ total possible outcome
P(H) = 0.5
Independent probability:
First week × second week
P(H) × P(H) = 0.5 × 0.5 = 0.25