Each of 40 subjects tastes two unmarked cups of coffee and says which he or she prefers. One cup in each pair contains instant coffee, the other fresh-brewed coffee. 30 of the subjects prefer the fresh-brewed coffee. Take p to be the proportion of the population who would prefer fresh-brewed coffee in a blind tasting. Test the claim that a majority of people prefer the taste of fresh-brewed coffee.

H0:P=__,HA:P>__
The test statistic is__ (2 decimals)
The p-value is__(4 decimals)
Therefore, at the ? = 0.05 level we can conclude that The data (does/ does not) provides statistical evidence that the majority of tasters (do/do not)prefer the fresh-brewed coffee.

Respuesta :

Answer:

Null hypothesis:[tex]p = 0.5[/tex]  

Alternative hypothesis:[tex]p > 0.5[/tex]

[tex]z=\frac{0.75 -0.5}{\sqrt{\frac{0.5(1-0.5)}{40}}}=3.16[/tex]  

[tex]p_v =P(z>3.16)=0.00079[/tex]  

So the p value obtained was a very low value and using the significance level given [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] we have [tex]p_v<\alpha[/tex] so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, and we can said that at 5% of significance the proportion of the subjects prefer the fresh-brewed coffee is higher than 0.5 (majority)

The data (does) provides statistical evidence that the majority of tasters (do) prefer the fresh-brewed coffee.

Step-by-step explanation:

Data given and notation

n=40 represent the random sample taken

X=30 represent the subjects prefer the fresh-brewed coffee

[tex]\hat p=\frac{30}{40}=0.75[/tex] estimated proportion of the subjects prefer the fresh-brewed coffee

[tex]p_o=0.5[/tex] is the value that we want to test

[tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] represent the significance level

Confidence=95% or 0.95

z would represent the statistic (variable of interest)

[tex]p_v[/tex] represent the p value (variable of interest)  

Concepts and formulas to use  

We need to conduct a hypothesis in order to test the claim that the majoriy of subjects prefer the fresh-brewed coffee.:  

Null hypothesis:[tex]p = 0.5[/tex]  

Alternative hypothesis:[tex]p > 0.5[/tex]  

When we conduct a proportion test we need to use the z statistic, and the is given by:  

[tex]z=\frac{\hat p -p_o}{\sqrt{\frac{p_o (1-p_o)}{n}}}[/tex] (1)  

The One-Sample Proportion Test is used to assess whether a population proportion [tex]\hat p[/tex] is significantly different from a hypothesized value [tex]p_o[/tex].

Calculate the statistic  

Since we have all the info requires we can replace in formula (1) like this:  

[tex]z=\frac{0.75 -0.5}{\sqrt{\frac{0.5(1-0.5)}{40}}}=3.16[/tex]  

Statistical decision  

It's important to refresh the p value method or p value approach . "This method is about determining "likely" or "unlikely" by determining the probability assuming the null hypothesis were true of observing a more extreme test statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis than the one observed". Or in other words is just a method to have an statistical decision to fail to reject or reject the null hypothesis.  

The significance level provided [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex]. The next step would be calculate the p value for this test.  

Since is a right tailed test the p value would be:  

[tex]p_v =P(z>3.16)=0.00079[/tex]  

So the p value obtained was a very low value and using the significance level given [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] we have [tex]p_v<\alpha[/tex] so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, and we can said that at 5% of significance the proportion of the subjects prefer the fresh-brewed coffee is higher than 0.5 (majority)

The data (does) provides statistical evidence that the majority of tasters (do) prefer the fresh-brewed coffee.

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