Answer:
0.2060 = 20.60% probability that 2 or fewer will withdraw
Step-by-step explanation:
For each student, there are only two possible outcomes. Either they withdraw, or they do not. The probability of a student withdrawing is independent from other students. So we use the binomial probability distribution to solve this question.
Binomial probability distribution
The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.
[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]
In which [tex]C_{n,x}[/tex] is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.
[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]
And p is the probability of X happening.
20% of its students withdraw without completing the introductory statistics course.
This means that [tex]p = 0.2[/tex]
Assume that 20 students registered for the course.
This means that [tex]n = 20[/tex]
Compute the probability that 2 or fewer will withdraw (to 4 decimals).
[tex]P(X \leq 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)[/tex]
In which
[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]
[tex]P(X = 0) = C_{20,0}.(0.2)^{0}.(0.8)^{20} = 0.0115[/tex]
[tex]P(X = 1) = C_{20,1}.(0.2)^{1}.(0.8)^{19} = 0.0576[/tex]
[tex]P(X = 2) = C_{20,2}.(0.2)^{2}.(0.8)^{18} = 0.1369[/tex]
[tex]P(X \leq 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = 0.0115 + 0.0576 + 0.1369 = 0.2060[/tex]
0.2060 = 20.60% probability that 2 or fewer will withdraw