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There are 3 red marbles, 5 green marbles, and 2 blue marbles in a jar. Event A is defined as drawing a red marble from the jar on the first draw. Event B is defined as drawing a green marble on the second draw. If two marbles are drawn from the bag, one after the other without replacement, what is P(B|A) expressed in simplest form?

Respuesta :

P(B/A) is [tex]\frac{5}{9}[/tex] in the simplest form

Step-by-step explanation:

Let us explain how to solve the problem

  • P(B|A) is called the "Conditional Probability" of B given A
  • Conditional probability is the probability of one event occurring with some relationship to one or more other events that means event A has already happened, now what is the chance of event B
  • The formula for conditional probability is P(B|A) = P(A and B)/P(A), where P(A and B) is P(A) . P(B given A occurred)

∵ There are 3 red marbles, 5 green marbles, and 2 blue

   marbles in the jar

∴ The total number of the marbles in the jar = 3 + 5 + 2 = 10

∵ Two marbles are drawn from the bag, one after the other without

   replacement

- That means red is already occurred when green is happened,

  so it is a "Conditional Probability" of green given red

  P(B/A) = P(A and B)/P(A)

∵ Event A is defined as drawing a red marble from the jar on

   the first draw

∴ P(A) = P(red)

∵ P(red) = [tex]\frac{3}{10}[/tex]

∴ P(A) = [tex]\frac{3}{10}[/tex]

∵ Event B is defined as drawing a green marble on the second draw

∴ P(B) = P(green)

- The number of marbles after the red is chosen is 9

∵ P(green) = [tex]\frac{5}{9}[/tex]

∴ P(B) = [tex]\frac{5}{9}[/tex]

- Find P( A and B)

∴ P(A and B) = ( [tex]\frac{3}{10}[/tex] ) . ( [tex]\frac{5}{9}[/tex] )

∴ P(A and B) = [tex]\frac{15}{90}[/tex]

- Simplify the fraction by divide up and down by 15

∴ P(A and B) = [tex]\frac{1}{6}[/tex]

∵ P(B|A) = P(A and B)/P(A)

- Substitute the values of P(A and B) and P(A) in the rule above

∴ P(B/A) = [tex]\frac{\frac{1}{6}}{\frac{3}{10}}[/tex]

- Simplify the fraction

∵ [tex]\frac{1}{6}[/tex] ÷ [tex]\frac{3}{10}[/tex] = [tex]\frac{1}{6}[/tex] × [tex]\frac{10}{3}[/tex] = [tex]\frac{10}{18}[/tex]

- Divide up and down by 2

∴ P(B/A) = [tex]\frac{5}{9}[/tex]

P(B/A) is [tex]\frac{5}{9}[/tex] in the simplest form

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Answer:5/9

Step-by-step explanation:

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