Respuesta :
Answer:
a) E(x)=2.5 V(x)=1.59
b) E(R)=17 V(R)=6.36
c) The probability that, when the four make their orders, everyone gets what they ordered is P=0.66.
Step-by-step explanation:
a) The mean E(x) can be calculated as:
[tex]E(x)=\sum^4_{i=0} p_ix_i\\\\E(x)=0.09*0+0.15*1+0.18*2+0.33*3+0.25*4\\\\E(x)=0.00+0.15+0.36+0.99+1.00\\\\E(x)=2.5[/tex]
The variance V(x) can be calculated as:
[tex]V(x)=\sum^4_{i=0} p_i(x_i-\bar x)^2\\\\V(x)=0.09(0-2.5)^2+0.15(1-2.5)^2+0.18(2-2.5)^2+0.33(3-2.5)^2+0.25(3-2.5)^2\\\\V(x)=0.09*6.25+0.15*2.25+0.18*0.25+0.33*0.25+0.25*2.25\\\\V(x)=0.5625+0.3375+0.045+0.0825+0.5625\\\\V(x)=1.59[/tex]
b) The revenue can be expressed as:
[tex]R=5*x+3*(4-x)[/tex]
Then, the expected value of R canbe expressed in function of x:
[tex]E(R)=E(5x+3(4-x))=5E(x)+3(4-E(x))\\\\E(R)=5*2.5+3(4-2.5)=12.5+4.5=17[/tex]
The expected revenue is $17.
The variance of R is
[tex]V(R)=V(5*x+3(4-x))=V(5x+12-3x)=V(2x+12)\\\\V(R)=V(2x)+V(12)=2^2V(x)+0=4*1.59\\\\V(R)=6.36[/tex]
c) In the case there are only 3 Cokes and 3 Sprites available, the only orders that can not be fullfilled are when X=0 (they order 4 Sprites) and X=4 (they order 4 Cokes).
The probability of these events is:
[tex]P(x=0,x=4)=P(x=0)+P(x=4)=0.09+0.25=0.34[/tex]
So, the probability of everyoned getting what they ordered is:
[tex]P=1-P(x=0,x=4)=1-0.34=0.66[/tex]
The probability that, when the four make their orders, everyone gets what they ordered is P=0.66.