A veterinarian wants to know if pit bulls or golden retrievers have a higher incidence of tooth decay at the age of three. The vet surveys 120 three-year old pit bulls and finds 30 of them have tooth decay. The vet then surveys 160 three-year old golden retrievers and finds 32 of them have tooth decay. Number the population of pit bulls and golden retrievers by 1 and 2, respectively. Refer to Exhibit 10.12. At the 10% significance level, can the vet conclude the proportion of pit bulls that have tooth decay is different than the proportion of golden retrievers that have tooth decay?

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex]z=\frac{0.25-0.2}{\sqrt{0.221(1-0.221)(\frac{1}{120}+\frac{1}{160})}}=0.998[/tex]    

[tex]p_v =2*P(Z>0.998)= 0.318[/tex]  

Comparing the p value with the significance level given [tex]\alpha=0.1[/tex] we see that [tex]p_v>\alpha[/tex] so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to FAIL to reject the null hypothesis, and we can't say that the we have significant differences between the two proportions.  

Step-by-step explanation:

1) Data given and notation

[tex]X_{1}=30[/tex] represent the number of old pit bulls with tooth decay

[tex]X_{2}=32[/tex] represent the number of golden retrievers  with tooth decay

[tex]n_{1}=120[/tex] sample selected for 1

[tex]n_{2}=160[/tex] sample selected for 2  

[tex]p_{1}=\frac{30}{120}=0.25[/tex] represent the proportion of old pit bulls with tooth decay

[tex]p_{2}=\frac{32}{160}=0.2[/tex] represent the proportion of golden retrievers  with tooth decay

z would represent the statistic (variable of interest)  

[tex]p_v[/tex] represent the value for the test (variable of interest)  

[tex]\alpha=0.1[/tex] significance level given

2) Concepts and formulas to use  

We need to conduct a hypothesis in order to check if is there is a difference between the two proportions, the system of hypothesis would be:  

Null hypothesis:[tex]p_{1} - p_{2}=0[/tex]  

Alternative hypothesis:[tex]p_{1} - p_{2} \neq 0[/tex]  

We need to apply a z test to compare proportions, and the statistic is given by:  

[tex]z=\frac{p_{1}-p_{2}}{\sqrt{\hat p (1-\hat p)(\frac{1}{n_{1}}+\frac{1}{n_{2}})}}[/tex]   (1)  

Where [tex]\hat p=\frac{X_{1}+X_{2}}{n_{2}+n_{2}}=\frac{30+32}{120+160}=0.221[/tex]  

3) Calculate the statistic  

Replacing in formula (1) the values obtained we got this:  

[tex]z=\frac{0.25-0.2}{\sqrt{0.221(1-0.221)(\frac{1}{120}+\frac{1}{160})}}=0.998[/tex]    

4) Statistical decision

Since is a two side test the p value would be:  

[tex]p_v =2*P(Z>0.998)= 0.318[/tex]  

Comparing the p value with the significance level given [tex]\alpha=0.1[/tex] we see that [tex]p_v>\alpha[/tex] so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to FAIL to reject the null hypothesis, and we can't say that the we have significant differences between the two proportions.  

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