We are interested in conducting a study to determine the percentage of voters of a state would vote for the incumbent governor.

What is the minimum sample size needed to estimate the population proportion with a margin of error of .05 or less at 95% confidence?

Respuesta :

Answer:

The minimum sample size is N=1537.

Step-by-step explanation:

We want to know the sample size to estimate the proportion of voters with a margin of error of 0.05, with a 95% of confidence.

The margin of error can be defined as:

[tex]e=UL-LL=(p+z*\sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{N}}) -(p-z*\sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{N}})=2z\sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{N}}[/tex]

We can calculate N from this

[tex]e=2z\sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{N}}\\\\\frac{p(1-p)}{N}=(\frac{e}{2z})^2\\\\N= (\frac{2z}{e})^2*p(1-p)[/tex]

The sample size will be calculated for p=0.5, which is the proportion that requires the larger sample size (maximum variance).

The z-value for a 95% CI is z=1.96.

The minimum sample size is then

[tex]N= (\frac{2z}{e})^2*p(1-p)=(\frac{2*1.96}{0.05})^2*0.5(1-0.5)=6146.56*0.5*0.5=1536.64[/tex]

The minimum sample size is N=1537.

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