Among a simple random sample of 331 American adults who do not have a four-year college degree and are not currently enrolled in school, 48% said they decided not to go to college because they could not afford school.49 A newspaper article states that only a minority of the Americans who decide not to go to college do so because they cannot afford it and uses the point estimate from this survey as evidence. Conduct a hypothesis test to determine if these data provide strong evidence supporting this statement using the 7 steps and a significance level of 0.05.

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Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

We want to test hypothesis:

[tex]H_0 : p\geq0.5[/tex]

[tex]H_a : p < 0.5[/tex]

This is a lower tailed test

Sample proportion. [tex]\stackrel{\wedge}{p}[/tex]=0.48, n= 331

And claimed proportion, P=0.5

Significance level, α=0.05  (if no value is given, we take level of 0.05)

Now, calculating statistics

Standard deviation of [tex]\stackrel{\wedge}{p}[/tex],[tex]\sigma_{\stackrel{\wedge}{p}}[/tex] = [tex]\frac{\sqrt{P*(1-P)}}{n}[/tex]

= [tex]\frac{\sqrt{0.05*(1-0.05)}}{331}[/tex]

 [tex]\approx[/tex]0.0275

Test statistic,[tex]z_{observed }[/tex]= [tex]\frac{(\stackrel{\wedge}{p}-0.5)}{ \sigma_{\stackrel{\wedge}{p}}}[/tex]

=[tex]\frac{ ((0.48)-0.5)}{0.0275}[/tex]

[tex]\approx[/tex] -0.727736

[tex]\approx[/tex]  -0.73

Test statistic: -0.73

Since this is lower tailed test, p value = [tex]P(Z < z_{observed})[/tex]= P ( Z < -0.73) = 0.2327

p-value= 0.2327

note that exact p-value is : 0.2333875382

Rejection criteria : reject H0 if p-value < [tex]\alpha[/tex]

Decision: Since[tex]p-value\geq\alpha[/tex], we fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that p is less than 0.5

Alternatively, we can use critical value approach,

[tex]Z_c= -z_\alpha=-z_{0.05}=-z_{0.05}=-1.645[/tex](From z table, using interpolation, ½th distance between -1.64 and -1.65)

critical value = -1.645

Rejection criteria: Reject[tex]H_0[/tex] if [tex]z_0< -1.645[/tex]

Decision : since [tex]z_o \geq z_c[/tex], we fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that p is less than to 0.5

The conclusion about the hypothesis test to provide evidence for the given statements;  strong evidence supporting the statement that only a minority of the Americans who decide not to go to college do so because they cannot afford it

How to conduct a Hypothesis Testing?

  • Step 1:

Let us state the Null hypothesis;

Null Hypothesis; H0: p = 0.5

  • Step 2;

Let us state the Alternative Hypothesis;

Alternative Hypothesis; Ha: p < 0.5

  • Step 3; Let us set the decision rule;

Critical value at α = 0.05 is 1.645. Thus, the decision rule is to reject the null hypothesis if the test statistic is less than -1.645 since it's a left tailed test.

  • Step 4; Find the parameters;

Standard deviation is; s = √(p(1 - p)/n)

s = √(0.5(1 - 0.5)/331)

s = 0.0275

sample proportion; p^ = 0.48

population proportion; p = 0.5

  • Step 5; Find the test statistic

Formula for the test statistic is gotten from the formula;

z = (p^ - p)/s

z = (0.48 - 0.5)/0.0275

z = -0.728

Step 6; Set the acceptance/rejection region;

The z-value is greater than the critical value and so we will reject the null hypothesis.

Step 7: Since we fail to reject the null hypothesis, we will conclude that the data provides strong evidence supporting the statement that only a minority of the Americans who decide not to go to college do so because they cannot afford it

Read more about creating hypothesis at; https://brainly.com/question/15980493

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