Respuesta :
Answer:
The probability that there are more heads than tails is equal to [tex]\dfrac{1}{2}[/tex].
Step-by-step explanation:
Since the number of flips is an odd number, there can't be an equal number of heads and tails. In other words, there are either
- more tails than heads, or,
- more heads than tails.
Let the event that there are more heads than tails be [tex]A[/tex]. [tex]\lnot A[/tex] (i.e., not A) denotes that there are more tails than heads. Either one of these two cases must happen. As a result, [tex]P(A) + P(\lnot A) = 1[/tex].
Additionally, since this coin is fair, the probability of getting a head is equal to the probability of getting a tail on each toss. That implies that (for example)
- the probability of getting 7 heads out of 15 tosses will be the same as
- the probability of getting 7 tails out of 15 tosses.
Due to this symmetry,
- the probability of getting more heads than tails (A is true) is equal to
- the probability of getting more tails than heads (A is not true.)
In other words [tex]P(A) = P(\lnot A)[/tex].
Combining the two equations:
[tex]\left\{\begin{aligned}&P(A) + P(\lnot A) = 1 \cr &P(A) = P(\lnot A)\end{aligned}\right.[/tex],
[tex]P(A) = P(\lnot A) = \dfrac{1}{2}[/tex].
In other words, the probability that there are more heads than tails is equal to [tex]\dfrac{1}{2}[/tex].
This conclusion can be verified using the cumulative probability function for binomial distributions with [tex]\dfrac{1}{2}[/tex] as the probability of success.
[tex]\begin{aligned}P(A) =& P(n \ge 8) \cr =& \sum \limits_{i = 8}^{15} {15 \choose i} (0.5)^{i} (0.5)^{15 - i}\cr =& \sum \limits_{i = 8}^{15} {15 \choose i} (0.5)^{15}\cr =& (0.5)^{15} \left({15 \choose 8} + {15 \choose 9} + \cdots + {15 \choose 15}\right) \cr =& (0.5)^{15} \left({15 \choose (15 - 8)} + {15 \choose (15 - 9)} + \cdots + {15 \choose (15 - 15)} \right) \cr =& (0.5)^{15} \left({15 \choose 7} + {15 \choose 6} + \cdots + {15 \choose 0}\right)\end{aligned}[/tex]
[tex]\begin{aligned}\phantom{P(A)} =& \sum \limits_{i = 0}^{7} {15 \choose i} (0.5)^{15}\cr =& P(n \le 7) \cr =& P(\lnot A)\end{aligned}[/tex].