Respuesta :
Answer:
Clarence should poll 847 to create the confidence interval.
Step-by-step explanation:
We have the following information:
1-α = 0.98
e = 0.04
p = unknown
The value of the sample (n) can be calculated using the following formula:
[tex]n=\frac{z^{2}*p*(1-p) }{e^{2} }[/tex]
First step: obtain the value of p
Since we're not given a value of p, we'll have to use the value that maximizes the sample. The value that maximizes the sample is always p = 0.5.
Second step: obtain the value of z
Since the confidence interval is going to be of 98%, you’ll have 1% of the distribution in each tail. Therefore the z values we’re looking for are the cumulative values of the z distribution up to 1% or up to 99%. Either value will work, but you’ll just need to use one of them.
Looking up on any z-table, the value of a 99% area in a z distribution is of z = 2.327.
Third step: replace in the formula
[tex]n=\frac{z^{2}*p*(1-p) }{e^{2} } = \frac{2.327^{2}*0.5*(1-0.5) }{0.04^{2}}=846.08[/tex]
Since we're looking for the number of people that should be polled, we cannot have decimals in the answer. Therefore we round up to 847 students.
Using the z-distribution, as we are working with a proportion, it is found that 847 students should be polled to create the confidence interval.
What is a confidence interval of proportions?
A confidence interval of proportions is given by:
[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]
In which:
- [tex]\pi[/tex] is the sample proportion.
- z is the critical value.
- n is the sample size.
The margin of error is given by:
[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]
98% confidence level, hence[tex]\alpha = 0.98[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a p-value of [tex]\frac{1+0.98}{2} = 0.99[/tex], so [tex]z = 2.327[/tex].
In this problem:
- There is no estimate of the proportion, hence [tex]\pi = 0.5[/tex].
- The margin of error is of M = 0.04.
To find the sample size, we solve for n, hence:
[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]
[tex]0.04 = 2.327\sqrt{\frac{0.5(0.5)}{n}}[/tex]
[tex]0.04\sqrt{n} = 2.327 \times 0.5[/tex]
[tex]\sqrt{n} = \frac{2.327 \times 0.5}{0.04}[/tex]
[tex](\sqrt{n})^2 = \left(\frac{2.327 \times 0.5}{0.04}\right)^2[/tex]
[tex]n = 846.1[/tex]
Rounding up, 847 students should be polled to create the confidence interval.
More can be learned about the z-distribution at https://brainly.com/question/25890103