Manana would be the best choice in the long run—see all my work below.
Regular prices:
Manana: [tex]700*.06=42[/tex] £/3mos
Channel: [tex](700*.02)+30=44[/tex] £/3mos
However, with the 20% discount on Channel Water, the first three months would look like:
(NOTE: This may be an overly complicated equation, but it's how it works out in my head.)
[tex](((\frac{700}{3})2*.02)+30)-((\frac{700*.02+30}{100})20)=30.53[/tex] £ for the first three months.
Manana:
[tex]4*42=168[/tex] £/year
Channel:
[tex](2.75*44)+30.53=151.53[/tex] £ for the first year, and [tex]4*44=176[/tex] £/year afterwards.