The coach is weighing a slightly increased risk of losing against a slightly decreased risk of injury to the star quarterback. this weighing of trade-offs is an example of marginal thinking, because the star quarterback was in for most of the game, and the coach's decision concerns – shifts in probabilities with the game nearly over.

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The missing word in the blank is :

small

hence the completed paragraph is:

The coach is weighing a slightly increased risk of losing against a slightly decreased risk of injury to the star quarterback. this weighing of trade-offs is an example of marginal thinking, because the star quarterback was in for most of the game, and the coach's decision concerns small shifts in probabilities with the game nearly over.

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