Suppose Jones believes that every morning that he steps out of his house with his right foot first, he will have a good day. Jones believes this because last Tuesday morning he stepped out of his house with his right foot first. Later in the day, he received a raise at work, his friends took him to lunch, and he won $500 in the lottery.
Which fallacy did Jones commit?

- The fallacy of appeal to emotion
- The fallacy of wishful thinking
- The fallacy of post hoc ergo propter hoc
- The false dilemma fallacy