Homework: M3 Assignment 1 Question 2, Problem 12 Part 1 of 3 HW Score: 12.5%, 5 of 40 points O Points: 0 of 20 Save The number of heart surgeres performed at Heartvile General Hospital has increased steadily over the past several years. The hospita's administration is seeking the best method to forecast the demand for such surgeries in your 6.The data for the past five years are shown below Year Demand 7 3 4 16 The he's administration is considering the following forecasting methods Begin error measurement in year 3, so at methods are compared for the same years Expenental smoothing, with a-06. Let the ind forecast for year 1 be 42, the same as the actual demand & Exponential smoothing with a 09. Let the initial forecast for year 1 be 42, the same as the actual demand Trend projection with egression. In Two-year moving average Two-year weighted moving average, using weights 0.6 and 0.4, with the more recent data given more weight MA is the performance crtention chosen by the administration, which forecasting method should choose? Year Demand 1 42 2 50 3 53 4 55 5 58 The hospital's administration is considering the following forecasting methods. Begin error measurement in year 3, so all i. Exponential smoothing, with a = 0.6. Let the initial forecast for year 1 be 42, the same as the actual demand. ii. Exponential smoothing, with a = 0.9. Let the initial forecast for year 1 be 42, the same as the actual demand. iii. Trend projection with regression. iv. Two-year moving average. v. Two-year weighted moving average, using weights 0.6 and 0.4, with the more recent data given more weight. If MAD is the performance criterion chosen by the administration, which forecasting method should it choose? 3, so all methods are compared for the same year Exponential smoothing with a = 0.6 Exponential smoothing with a = 0.9 Trend projection with regression Two-year moving average Two-year weighted moving average e actual demand. e actual demand. iven more weight. it choose?
