- In March 2021, the Biden administration implemented a $1.9 trillion economic stimulus package.
- In December 2021, the inflation rate was 7%.
Some economists, including economists from the Fed, were surprised about the recent high inflation rate. For example, Jason Furman wrote Why Did Almost Nobody See Inflation Coming?. Use the IS-MP + Phillips model to explain why or why not economists should have predicted the recent surge in inflation. - You must provide graphs of the relevant movements of the IS, MP, and Phillips curve to support your answer. - What types of shocks (changes in parameters) explain such movements of the curves? - Provide intuition: Give a written explanation of why are curves moving and whether we should have been able to predict the surge in inflation.
