there is a population of frogs with male:female occurring in 50:50 ratio. there are two patches of ground near you, one containing a single frog, the other containing two frogs. your survival depends on you finding a female frog in one of these two patches, but you only get to make one attempt. you cannot tell which frogs are which in advance, except that you know that one of the frogs in the patch with two frogs in is male. if you go towards the patch with two frogs, what is your chance of surviving?
