Make a list of 7 people you know who may be able to come on your trip. Check out the likelihood or probability of each of them coming before inviting anyone along.
Include information on:
1. Relationship status – single, in a relationship, partner, married,
2. Work status – work full time, work part time, work nights, work weekends
3. Financial status – studying with low income, moderate income, comfortable income
To work out the likelihood of them coming use this probability information table. The higher the score the more likely they are to be able to come with you.
Status
Relationship
Single
Pr = 0.9
In a new relationship
Pr = 0.5
Partner
Pr = 0.6
Married
Pr = 0.8
Work
Full Time
Pr = 0.7
Part Time
Pr = 0.6
Nights
Pr = 0.8
Weekends
Pr = 0.2
Sporting and Other Commitments
Weekend
Pr = 0.2
Weekday
Pr = 0.8
Monthly Weekend
Pr = 0.4
Monthly Weekday
Pr =0.7
Include this information for the 7 people you have selected and then ‘pick’ the 4 people who are most likely to be able to go with you.
Person
Relationship
Work Status
Commitment Status
Probability
Rank (likelihood of coming)
E.g. Ruby
Single
0.9
Nights
0.8
Monthly Weekday
0.7
0.9 x 0.8 x 0.7 = 0.504
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People Most Likely to Attend and Why
